What are the limitation fallacies of public opinion polls? 

In Pakistan, a large gap separates political attitudes and government art. Politics is the game of the rich and corrupt, which frustrates the people’s mandate. In addition, the Pakistani establishment is also amenable to foreign powers that undermine aspiration of the peeps. Public opinion polls tell us a lot about election results and public policy. In some cases, this is due to the fact that the data itself was not reliable, or was presented in a misleading manner. In other cases, separation results from situations in which public opinion was not the driving factor behind political opinion. Pakistan Tehreek e Insaf, which does not trust the system and often opposes it, inevitably establishes itself as a symbol of change in Pakistan. Therefore, the larger narrative demands must keep Imran out of the real political circles. As for Imran Khan himself, he must continue to attack the system as it has always been. Peace talks with the Taliban have eclipsed the serious actions of the energy crisis, economic crises, anti terrorism legislation and national security policy based on fundamental national interests.

With the absence of complementary legislation, parliamentary and judicial oversight and policy implementation in other areas, the army led counter terrorism will continue to return the country to square one.  Going by the experience of the past ten years, history will repeat itself because we are constantly pursing  for a one time failure approach often. By contrast, the militants who apologize for them in mainstream politics make broader demands and make clear their intentions. Its policy of threat, terror and selective imaging of violence in front of the miserable public whose leaders lack political statesmanship has proven effective to date.  They will continue to create these divisions in society, and in government, until they are challenged by a superior, broad based, reverse narrative. Where can we ask, is this counter narration? The Effective use of the Internet, alternative means of communication and  technologies for the home remains a leader in leadership. Hence the state must come up with superior narratives, effective diplomacy, and awareness that can deprive these fish of the water they need to thrive. Regardless of the selective use of force, major counter terrorism operations must be fought in the realm of societal schemes. In Pakistan, we lack such a scheme.

Unless the Pakistani government reaches a comprehensive relationship with the means, the military operations will continue to provide 20-40% rest, not more. The course will continue. If politicians lack the capacity, they should engage professionals, specialists, and experts on this topic to provide the much needed momentum. Successful military operations can only be part of the larger political victory,this is not the solution.  Military victory, not short term military victory is today. It reminded me of another problem. President Trump seems so polarizing that he literally shifts public opinion around a range of issues. Thus support for trade and immigration increases, especially among Democrats, perhaps as a violent response to Trump. In another poll, white evangelists recently had a major shift in opinion about morality. Just seven years ago (when Bill Clinton was fresh in everyone’s mind) white evangelical voters believed that moral behavior by government officials was extremely important. In 2016, opinion (with Trump in everyone’s mind) shifted significantly in the opposite direction. So what do white evangelists believe in morality? This is not a question, because it presupposes a public opinion in the same sense as a mountain. Rushmore is here.

In my opinion, neither of these polls of liberal democrats or conservative evangelicals is considered reliable evidence of public opinion. Much of what actually happens is a kind of “Trump” or “Yes Trump” disguised as actual principled actual opinions on various issues.

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